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Pollster Nate Silver calls Ocasio-Cortez most likely to be 2028 Democratic presidential nominee

  • Election data expert Nate Silver predicts that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is currently the most likely Democrat to lead the party’s presidential ticket in 2028 if she decides to run.
  • A Yale University poll shows Ocasio-Cortez has a net favorability rating of +60 points among Democrats, indicating broad appeal in the party.
  • Druke said that Ocasio-Cortez has fervent support and is likely to gain media attention, which will help her in a crowded primary.
  • Silver expressed some uncertainty about her running, noting concerns regarding electability and her age, as she will be 39 in 2028.
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RedState broke the news in Washington, United States on Wednesday, April 16, 2025.
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