NASA Updates Moon Impact Risk for Asteroid 2024 YR4 to 3.8%
- Asteroid 2024 YR4, first detected in December 2024, now has a near-zero chance of hitting Earth, according to NASA's update.
- The asteroid's chance of striking the Moon on December 22, 2032, has increased to 3.8%, based on data from the James Webb Space Telescope.
- If the asteroid impacts the Moon, it would not alter its orbit, but could scatter debris that might threaten human space operations.
133 Articles
133 Articles
Remember Asteroid 2024 YR4? -- A New Update on Possible Lunar Impact
About that space rock that looked for a few weeks earlier this year like it might have a non-negligible chance of colliding with the Earth on a return visit in 2032 — even though such a potentially devastating event has been ruled out to a 5-sigma*...
"If asteroid 2024 YR4 had threatened the Earth, we would have tried to divert it because it's over 50 meters."
The Spanish researcher of ESA takes stock of the case of asteroid 2024 YR4, "the most important of the last 20 years", and explains what will happen if it hits the Moon in 2032 - there is a probability of 3.8%. Although this rock no longer poses a threat to our planet, he considers it "a wake-up call to remind us that asteroids are there". Read
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