NASA Updates Moon Impact Risk for Asteroid 2024 YR4 to 3.8%

After calculations ruled out the possibility of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth, there is now a 3.8% chance of hitting the Moon. Could its impact alter the orbit of...

Remember Asteroid 2024 YR4? -- A New Update on Possible Lunar Impact

About that space rock that looked for a few weeks earlier this year like it might have a non-negligible chance of colliding with the Earth on a return visit in 2032 — even though such a potentially devastating event has been ruled out to a 5-sigma*...

NASA doubles odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Moon

: Heads up to those living on lunar base in 2032: DUCK!!

Asteroid feared to be heading for Earth could hit the moon instead, says expert

Asteroid 2024 YR4 was believed to have a 3.1 per cent chance of slamming into Earth on December 22 2032

The Spanish researcher of ESA takes stock of the case of asteroid 2024 YR4, "the most important of the last 20 years", and explains what will happen if it hits the Moon in 2032 - there is a probability of 3.8%. Although this rock no longer poses a threat to our planet, he considers it "a wake-up call to remind us that asteroids are there". Read

City-killer asteroid chances of hitting Moon increase slightly

NASA has raised the odds that asteroid 2024 YR4, a fast-moving object roughly the size of a 10-story building, could hit the Moon in December 2032. While the chance is still small, the updated forecast does note an increased impact risk that the city-killer asteroid will strike the Moon. Originally discovered in December 2024, asteroid 2024 YR4 has been under constant observation. At first, scientists estimated the asteroid’s size based on visib…