How a Historic Election Reversal Emerged: What Abacus Data's polling tells us about how this election might end. - Abacus Data

How a Historic Election Reversal Emerged: What Abacus Data's polling tells us about how this election might end. - Abacus Data

With just days left before Canadians cast their ballots, an election that once seemed destined for a Conservative victory under Pierre Poilievre now stands as an unpredictable contest, with Mark Carney’s Liberals gaining significant momentum. Initially centred around affordability and a widespread desire for change, this campaign has evolved dramatically into a referendum on stability amid global uncertainty. At the start of the year, Justin Tru…

Election Writ 4/24: What can change in four days?

With only a few days left in the election campaign, we’re now waiting for the final polls from all the major pollsters. Expect a rush of them starting on Saturday through to the end of Sunday. I’ll be updating the Poll Tracker once daily until Sunday, when I’ll likely have multiple updates right up to the wire.But should we expect things to shift around much between now and then?Also in today’s newsletter: A new poll out of Atlantic Canada, plus…