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Odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth creep upward

NASA has raised the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth to 3.1 percent.
The European Space Agency estimates the collision possibility at 2.8 percent, up from 1.2 percent in January.
The asteroid poses a severe damage risk if it impacts, as it is about the size of a football pitch.
NASA scientists indicated that a collision would likely occur along a risk corridor covering multiple regions including the eastern Pacific Ocean and northern South America.

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KMIZ

+4 Reposted by 4 other sources

Why do the odds of asteroid YR4 hitting Earth keep changing?

By Ashley Strickland, CNN A newly discovered asteroid, dubbed 2024 YR4, is now the most dangerous asteroid ever detected. On Tuesday, NASA calculated that the space rock had a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032, while the European Space Agency's risk assessment stands at 2.8%. The small difference is due to the two agencies' use of different tools to determine the asteroid's orbit and model its potential impact.

3 days ago

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merkur.de

Does the asteroid 2024 YR4 hit the Earth? Why the impact probability varies extremely

The asteroid 2024 YR4 hits the Earth with a probability of more than one percent. However, the value varies extremely. Experts explain why.

3 days ago

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CBS News

Odds of asteroid YR4 2024 hitting Earth in 2032 go up again, NASA says

The asteroid 2024 YR4 has a very small chance of striking Earth when its orbit briefly intersects our planet's in December 2032.

4 days ago

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Sapo

Probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth increases again

If it hits, the explosion's radius could extend up to approximately 50 km, destroying everything in its path. The countries potentially hit by 2024 YR4 have already been identified, but there's still a lot to tell, if...

4 days ago·Portugal

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The Register

Odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth creep upward

It's probably fine

Odds of 2024 YR4 asteroid hitting Earth rise again

Data shows the asteroid is the most threatening to Earth in modern forecasting and would cause "severe damage" to a region if it makes impact - while scientists have just a few more weeks to observe the asteroid before it disappears from view until 2028.

4 days ago·United Kingdom

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