Economists Say Trade War Makes US Recession Almost a Coin Flip

Analysts predict that President Donald Trump’s trade war will affect economic growth this year and the next, because tariffs will lead to higher prices and reduce consumer spending. According to Bloomberg’s latest survey of economists, the US economy will grow by 1.4 percent in 2025 and 1.5 percent in 2026, compared to 2 and 1.9 percent in last month’s survey. Median respondents now foresee a 45 percent chance of recession in the next 12 months,…

Economists Say Trade War Makes US Recession Almost a Coin Flip

Forecasters surveyed by Bloomberg now see a 45% of a downturn in the next year, up from 30% in March.

The trade war waged by President Donald Trump puts the United States in a position where economic growth or even a recession is practically like throwing a coin into the air, according to an analysis published by 'Bloomberg'.

At first it was just crazy tariffs against penguin islands, but now it's empty shelves, empty ports, empty wallets: Donald Trump's political chaos reaches American everyday life – and Switzerland.